Tigers vs Orioles ALDS Series Odds

Here is a breakdown of the ALDS series between the Detroit Tigers and Baltimore Orioles, which starts tonight, Thursday Oct2@5:30PM ET, from Oriole Park. The Tigers claimed their fourth straight AL Central title and the Orioles won the East for the first time since 1997, cruising to the second-largest lead of any division winner. The Tigers took the season series 5-1 and Bovada.lv has the series odds at -145 for the Tigers over the Orioles (+125). Below is our preview of the series along with ALDS Series Odds courtesy of Sportsbook. Odds

Three of the Tigers’ starters have won a Cy Young Award, no one in the Orioles’ rotation has earned a single Cy Young vote. The Orioles’ rotation had baseball’s eighth-lowest full-season strikeout rate, sixth-highest walk rate, second-lowest ground ball rate, and sixth-highest home run rate. All the components of run prevention indicate that the O’s were closer to the bottom of the league than the top.

The Orioles defense solves some of their problems. Baltimore’s fielders ranked fourth in the majors in Defensive Efficiency, a measure of the rate at which teams turn batted balls into outs. And while the Orioles’ ALDS incarnation lacks Manny Machado, who suffered a serious knee injury for the second straight season, losing the third baseman’s excellent glove hasn’t hurt the team’s overall defense as much as one would assume. The Orioles were better at converting grounders into outs.

The Orioles have an all-or-nothing offense, which is OK as long as the “all” keeps coming.

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The Tigers traded for David Price and many speculated that Justin Verlander would spend October in the bullpen, where he might recover some of his lost velocity and effectiveness. Verlander’s season suffered from reduced velocity that declined further late in the season and robbed him of some of his ability to miss bats. Instead, Anibal Sanchez will work in relief.

Price led the majors in innings pitched (248.1) and strikeouts (271) and posted the third-best K-BB rate among qualified starters, while Max Scherzer matched last year’s Cy Young showing minus a higher 2014 BABIP. Rich Porcello’s decreased use of his sinker, a pitch with a medium platoon split, allowed him to handle lefties and go deeper into games than ever before.

On the whole, Tigers starters have recorded the lowest home run rate in the league, which should come in handy.

The Tigers gave themselves a makeover last winter, they ended up looking like a team cut from the same cloth. In the AL, only the Angels can rival them for the title of best-hitting team, and only the Twins can claim to be inferior fielders.

Detroit at Baltimore
When: Thursday Oct 2@5:30 PM ET
Pick: Tigers -145

The Bottom Line: Baltimore has home field, but Detroit has a deeper lineup and two starters who are better than any the Orioles can throw. Using Sanchez in the pen instead of in the rotation will delay the conclusion, but the Tigers will take it in five. We recommend you sign up with Bovada to receive a 50% sign up bonus. Get in on the action before the ALDS series kicks-off.